A list of possible discoveries by the Large Hadron Collider and the probability of each discovery being made within the next five years.

"Our results suggest that everyday cognitive judgments follow the same optimal statistical principles as perception and memory, and reveal a close correspondence between people’s implicit probabilistic models and the statistics of the world."

Introduces 'predictive information', a measure of the mutual information between the past and the future of a time series. Unique if all observers with prior distributions limited to local interactions need to arrive at the same measure.

The goal of the Mind RACES project is to investigate different anticipatory cognitive mechanisms and architectures in order to build Cognitive Systems endowed with the ability to predict the outcome of their actions.

Meet your descendants. They don't know what it's like to be involuntarily lost, don't understand what we mean by the word "privacy", and will have access to a historical representation of our species that defies understanding.

The ability to substantially predict the future of morality would be a strong argument against morality changes being due to info we learn, just as the ability to predict future stock prices would argue against stock price changes being due to info.

The major theme of the thesis is to develop a mathematical foundation of Artificial Intelligence and, more specifically, to develop a theory for rational agents acting optimally in any environment.

Solomonoff ’s induction method is a theoretical model of what could be considered a perfect inductive inference system. Incomputable.

Can we forecast the probability of an arbitrary sequence of events happening so that the stated probability of an event happening is close to its empirical probability?

The Japanese National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP) runs a technology foresight project every five years, looking 30 years into the future.

Appears to prove that beyond a moderate level of complexity the development of powerful artificial intelligence algorithms can only be an experimental science.

Papers on sequence prediction and optimal artificial intelligence.

A Unified Approach to Problems in Pattern Recognition and Artificial Intelligence.