jnchapel + statistics   32

An academic approach to identifying elite broodmare prospects
"The results have varied from the expected (graded stakes winners are the best prospects for producing high-quality runners) to the surprising (fast maiden winners produce a surprising percentage of high-quality runners). We also discuss listed stakes winners as producers (they appear to be over-valued and overbred by breeders), and non-winning mares (it’s hard to justify having them in a high-quality broodmare band), and six other categories of racing class as well."
horseracing  breeding  pedigrees  distaffers  broodmares  statistics  from delicious
march 2011 by jnchapel
Racecourses risk new clash with media over charges for basic data
"It seems very short-sighted. It's a classic example of one part of racing trying to get a slightly bigger slice of the cake, regardless of how big the cake actually is, or what it might mean in a wider sense."
horseracing  international  statistics  data  racing-post  media  from delicious
january 2011 by jnchapel
Without adding context, a journalist with data can be dangerous
"So the challenge for 2011 isn’t just making use of all the data that’s available, it’s making use of it responsibly, linking data together to come up with a true picture."
media  journalism  beat-blogging  statistics  data  from delicious
january 2011 by jnchapel
Good news or no news?
"If we don't know the fatality rates at each racetrack, how can there be any action taken on the results of the study or, more importantly, how can horsemen decide where to perhaps avoid racing in the future?"
horseracing  track-surfaces  statistics  equine-safety  from delicious
december 2010 by jnchapel
Synthetic surfaces boast fewer fatal breakdowns than dirt
Synthetic surfaces boast fewer catastrophic breakdowns than dirt, Jockey Club stats say.
horseracing  track-surfaces  synthetic-surfaces  statistics  from twitter_favs
december 2010 by jnchapel
Numbers game
"... thanks to the convergence of several factors, the technological tools to perform that analysis and take it in myriad new directions are becoming increasingly powerful. And fueled in part by newer innovations such as real-time motion tracking, advanced statistical algorithms, and high-definition and highly searchable online video, the number of firms entering or expanding their business presence in player analysis is quickly accelerating.... Arguably the most dramatic advance within player analysis has not been within the number crunching itself, but the ability to take the research anywhere and access it through a simple touchscreen. Apple’s iPad tablet device, which sold more than 3 million units in just 90 days following its April debut, is now a must-have business tool for dozens of GMs across the major sports leagues."
sports  technology  statistics  analytics 
september 2010 by jnchapel
Fatalities similar across surfaces
Fascinating results from the first year of the TJC equine injury database. "The analysis also showed female horses had a lower fatality rate than intact male horses; that females weren’t at increased risk when they compete against males; that 2-year-olds were less likely to break down than older horses; that there was no statistically significant difference in fatal injuries with various surface conditions."
horseracing  synthetic-surfaces  statistics  equine-safety 
june 2010 by jnchapel
Safest surface for horse races unclear
More on TJC injury data. "This tells us the debate goes on."
horseracing  synthetic-surfaces  statistics  equine-safety 
june 2010 by jnchapel
TOBA study: Synthetic stands for safety
"Dirt statistics from 2009 had an average of 0.39% CEDNFs per starter, so if the hypothetical meeting was strictly on a dirt track there would be 18 horses that didn’t finish and never raced/worked out again. A meeting conducting entirely on an all-weather/synthetic track, with a percentage of 0.19% CEDNFs, would have just nine non-finishers who never raced or worked again. An all-turf meeting would have 12 CEDNFs, based on the percentage of 0.26%. So, in 2009 at least, all-weather/synthetic tracks produced half the number of career-ending incidents than were recorded on dirt, and synthetics were even safer than turf." PDF: http://jessicachapel.com/docs/natb-062810-final.pdf (Also see: http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/57670/study-looks-at-number-of-dnfs-by-surface Note TOBA no-comment.)
horseracing  synthetic-surfaces  statistics  equine-safety 
june 2010 by jnchapel
Why the latest frontier of statistical research in baseball is defense
"There are a million questions to choose from, but right now the most cutting-edge research is in the mysterious, ethereal, and, most maddeningly, subjective world of defense. And that quest to objectify the subjective has opened a new front in the battle between the Yankees and their eternal enemies, the Red Sox."
sports  mlb  baseball  statistics  red-sox  yankees  defense 
april 2010 by jnchapel
Final fractions
"One of the Derby handicapping angles I follow is how fast a horse finished the final eighth-mile and three-eighths mile in its last 1 1/8-mile Derby prep ... Anything in the 12-second range for the final eighth-mile of a 1 1/8-mile prep is regarded as impressive, as is anything under 38 seconds for the final three-eighths."
horseracing  kentucky-derby  statistics  handicapping 
march 2010 by jnchapel
Bloomberg Sports targets fantasy baseball, Major League
"The goal is simple: to replicate the company's smashing success in the financial world, where the $1,500-a-month Bloomberg terminals are in many ways the lifeblood of the industry, into the sports world. Bloomberg is starting with baseball. The company has just launched its fantasy product, which costs $31.95 for the year and is available on MLB.com." Watching with interest ...
mlb  baseball  sports  analytics  statistics  bloomberg 
march 2010 by jnchapel
MLBAM, Bloomberg team for data products
More details from the December 2009 deal announcement: "For the MLBAM-Bloomberg product being sold to MLB teams, Bloomberg will take MLBAM’s real-time statistical feed from every game, as well as location-based data already being developed in partnership with Sportvision, and apply an almost limitless amount of analytical tools." Neat! Visuals: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/bloomberg-sports-professional-tool/ Via: http://twitter.com/o_crunk/status/8470361155
mlb  baseball  sports  analytics  statistics  bloomberg 
march 2010 by jnchapel
With new system, digital eyes will chart baseball's unseen skills
"A new camera and software system in its final testing phases will record the exact speed and location of the ball and every player on the field, allowing the most digitized of sports to be overrun anew by hundreds of innovative statistics that will rate players more accurately, almost certainly affect their compensation and perhaps alter how the game itself is played."
sports  baseball  statistics  data  technology 
july 2009 by jnchapel
Thanks to Twitter, I'm creating my own Twitter
Frustrated stats geek motivated to build own micro-service: "It will be a system that caters to sports fans."
twitter  social-media  statistics  start-ups 
june 2009 by jnchapel
Prep and historical criteria (reference chart)
Historical criteria as applied to 2009 Kentucky Derby prospects. Includes 2003-2008 Derby fields and 1998-2008 top three finishers for background.
horseracing  handicapping  kentucky-derby  statistics  data  charts 
april 2009 by jnchapel
Derby Statistics
Kennedy's Corridor Derby stats posts archive. Very thorough (speed, number of starts, prep races, etc.).
horseracing  handicapping  statistics  kentucky-derby 
april 2009 by jnchapel
Roses unlikely for Dunkirk
Jon White explains his system: "When a horse gets three or more strikes, I toss them out. That’s because since I developed this system, no horse has won the Kentucky Derby with more than two strikes." Pioneerof the Nile, Desert Party look like contenders.
horseracing  handicapping  statistics  kentucky-derby 
april 2009 by jnchapel
DAYTUM
Track anything you can count.
web2.0  tools  data  personal  social-media  statistics 
february 2009 by jnchapel
StateStats
Popularity of search queries in US states.
statistics  data  search  research  reference  tools 
december 2008 by jnchapel
How Good Was 538?
(Just about) Spot on, beating the old media (and most of the established web) at the data game.
media  web2.0  politics  data  statistics  election  obama 
november 2008 by jnchapel
Murray Chass On Baseball
Straight up, old media baseball writing: "This is a site for baseball columns, not for baseball blogs."
sports  baseball  sports-blog  statistics 
july 2008 by jnchapel

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