via Slovic's LSE talk, a site full of handy comparisons, in the manner of Kahnemann and Tversky, of the foibles of human risk comprehension

science communication expert explains probability with rare precision. excellent for tips about communicating risk and lots of tasty examples (comparing hose riding with ecstasy, motorbikes with pregnancy, all that stuff)

"Woody Allens may be better suited to a world in which technology changes the odds and a miscalculation can mean the collapse of the global banking system or the unleashing of a mushroom cloud.

not pretty, but necessary. How to comunicate statistics and risks to people in a matter which suffers least at the hands of our inherent cognitive biases

To the world: one possible dark side of economic globalisation is that it makes things explode. Although the solution in this framing is possibly not anti economic globalisation but rather "modular" trade networks. How does one get those?

To me: Beware! the econophysicists are attacking! Actually, though, this is the kind of idea that economics needs to countenance. Maybe it already does. if so, what is is the terminology they use?

the importance and risks of minority voices in science - cigarette smoke and climate change denialists

Sion lott on what risk and competence means in the context of project planning

the digrammatic trickery inovlved in persuading customers for your software project to shut up, and its critics.

a bunch of interesting talking heads on the theme of modelling human behaviour under crisis

"Cognitive Edge is focused on rejuvenating management practices to better equip organisations when addressing intractable problems or seizing new opportunities in uncertain and complex situations"

crisis precipitating change.

old school, weirdly telling fun

quite an adept explanation of the kinds of uncertainties that climate science requires us to have a grip upon. Most perturbingly, there is nothing to say that former disastrously hot geological epochs weren't driven by minor climate perturbations