cshalizi + social_influence   20

Estimating the Causal Effects of Social Interaction with Endogenous Networks
"Identifying causal effects attributable to network membership is a key challenge in empirical studies of social networks. In this article, we examine the consequences of endogeneity for inferences about the effects of networks on network members’ behavior. Using the House office lottery (in which newly elected members select their office spaces in a randomly chosen order) as an instrumental variable to estimate the causal impact of legislative networks on roll call behavior and cosponsorship decisions in the 105th–112th Houses, we find no evidence that office proximity affects patterns of legislative behavior. These results contrast with decades of congressional scholarship and recent empirical studies. Our analysis demonstrates the importance of accounting for selection processes and omitted variables in estimating the causal impact of networks."
to:NB  causal_inference  re:critique_of_diffusion  social_influence  congress  network_data_analysis  social_networks  homophily  re:homophily_and_confounding 
13 days ago by cshalizi
Social Influence, Binary Decisions and Collective Dynamics
"In this paper we address the general question of how social influence determines collective outcomes for large populations of individuals faced with binary decisions. First, we define conditions under which the behavior of individuals making binary decisions can be described in terms of what we call an influence-response function: a one-dimensional function of the (weighted) number of individuals choosing each of the alternatives. And second, we demonstrate that, under the assumptions of global and anonymous interactions, general knowledge of the influence-response functions is sufficient to compute equilibrium, and even non-equilibrium, properties of the collective dynamics. By enabling us to treat in a consistent manner classes of decisions that have previously been analyzed separately, our framework allows us to find similarities between apparently quite different kinds of decision situations, and conversely to identify important differences between decisions that would otherwise appear very similar."
to:NB  to_read  re:do-institutions-evolve  re:homophily_and_confounding  social_life_of_the_mind  social_influence  herding  watts.duncan  kith_and_kin 
january 2012 by cshalizi
Social selection and peer influence in an online social network
"Disentangling the effects of selection and influence is one of social science's greatest unsolved puzzles: Do people befriend others who are similar to them, or do they become more similar to their friends over time? Recent advances in stochastic actor-based modeling, combined with self-reported data on a popular online social network site, allow us to address this question with a greater degree of precision than has heretofore been possible. Using data on the Facebook activity of a cohort of college students over 4 years, we find that students who share certain tastes in music and in movies, but not in books, are significantly likely to befriend one another. Meanwhile, we find little evidence for the diffusion of tastes among Facebook friends—except for tastes in classical/jazz music. These findings shed light on the mechanisms responsible for observed network homogeneity; provide a statistically rigorous assessment of the coevolution of cultural tastes and social relationships; and suggest important qualifications to our understanding of both homophily and contagion as generic social processes."

It will be interested to see how they argue this isn't confounded six ways from Sunday.
in_NB  to_read  re:homophily_and_confounding  social_networks  social_influence  homophily  social_media  to_be_shot_after_a_fair_trial 
december 2011 by cshalizi
An Experimental Study of Homophily in the Adoption of Health Behavior
"How does the composition of a population affect the adoption of health behaviors and innovations? Homophily—similarity of social contacts—can increase dyadic-level influence, but it can also force less healthy individuals to interact primarily with one another, thereby excluding them from interactions with healthier, more influential, early adopters. As a result, an important network-level effect of homophily is that the people who are most in need of a health innovation may be among the least likely to adopt it. Despite the importance of this thesis, confounding factors in observational data have made it difficult to test empirically. We report results from a controlled experimental study on the spread of a health innovation through fixed social networks in which the level of homophily was independently varied. We found that homophily significantly increased overall adoption of a new health behavior, especially among those most in need of it."
in_NB  to_read  social_networks  experimental_sociology  re:homophily_and_confounding  homophily  diffusion_of_innovations  contagion  social_influence 
december 2011 by cshalizi
[1111.4181] Locating privileged information spreaders during political protests on an Online Social Network
"Although the phrase "Twitter revolution" was coined back in 2009 to refer to the mass mobilizations in Moldova and soon after in Iran, year 2011 has confirmed the connection between social media and social unrest. Undoubtedly, the "Arab spring" or the "Spanish revolution" --which has spread throughout and culminated with Liberty Square occupation in New York-- cannot be understood without the role of social networking sites to help protesters self-organize and attain a critical mass of participants. In this context, we need to distinguish dynamic activity (which comprises actual information exchange) from the underlying structure (which reflects relatively stable relationships between users --who follows who). We provide a quantitative analysis which stems from complex network theory to scrutinize the mobilization's temporal evolution and its resulting structure and dynamics both at the macro- and micro-scale levels. Most importantly, we study the interplay between the structural and dynamic levels to decipher how the former facilitates the latter's success, understood as efficiency in information spreading. We discuss who (and why) has privileged spreading capabilities when it comes to information diffusion, based on the analysis of empirical data."
to:NB  to_read  social_media  network_data_analysis  social_influence  arab_spring 
november 2011 by cshalizi
[1110.0535] Modeling the adoption of innovations in the presence of geographic and media influences
"While there has been much work examining the affects of social network structure on innovation adoption, models to date have lacked important features such as meta-populations reflecting real geography or influence from mass media forces. In this article, we show these are features crucial to producing more accurate predictions of a social contagion and technology adoption at the city level. Using data from the adoption of the popular micro-blogging platform, Twitter, we present a model of adoption on a network that places friendships in real geographic space and exposes individuals to mass media influence. We show that homopholy both amongst individuals with similar propensities to adopt a technology and geographic location are critical to reproduce features of real spatiotemporal adoption. Furthermore, we estimate that mass media was responsible for increasing Twitter's user base two to four fold. To reflect this strength, we extend traditional contagion models to include an endogenous mass media agent that responds to those adopting an innovation as well as influencing agents to adopt themselves."
diffusion_of_innovations  social_influence  twitter  social_media  re:homophily_and_confounding  to:NB 
october 2011 by cshalizi
New Study Finds Solar Panels Are "Contagious" - Environment - GOOD
I shouldn't shoot the paper on the basis of a magazine report, but, seriously?  If some locations are just better ones for solar power, wouldn't anyone expect both more frequent installations and more of them?
track_down_references  homophily  confounding  social_influence 
april 2011 by cshalizi
"Learning Human Interactions with the Influence Model"
Interesting, but so many approximations only to handle such a restricted special case!  And, of course, it assumes away homophily.
markov_models  social_influence  via:guslacerda  network_data_analysis  re:homophily_and_confounding  have_read  basu.sumit  choudhury.tanzeem  clarkson.brian  pentland.alex 
july 2008 by cshalizi

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