cshalizi + pearl.judea   9

[1203.3504] On Measurement Bias in Causal Inference
"This paper addresses the problem of measurement errors in causal inference and highlights several algebraic and graphical methods for eliminating systematic bias induced by such errors. In particulars, the paper discusses the control of partially observable confounders in parametric and non parametric models and the computational problem of obtaining bias-free effect estimates in such models."
to:NB  causal_inference  inference_to_latent_objects  pearl.judea  to_teach:undergrad-ADA  statistics  error_in_variables  via:arthegall 
18 days ago by cshalizi
"Trygve Haavelmo and the Emergence of Causal Calculus" (Judea Pearl, 2011)
"Haavelmo was the first to recognize the capacity of economic models to guide poli- cies. This paper describes some of the barriers that Haavelmo’s ideas have had (and still have) to overcome, and lays out a logical framework for capturing the relationships between theory, data and policy questions. The mathematical tools that emerge from this framework now enable investigators to answer complex policy and counterfactual questions using embarrassingly simple routines, some by mere inspection of the model’s structure. Several such problems are illustrated by examples, including misspecification tests, identification, mediation and introspection."
to:NB  causal_inference  economics  econometrics  haavelmo.trygve  pearl.judea  graphical_models  to_read 
february 2012 by cshalizi
Causal Analysis in Theory and Practice » Comments on an article by Grice, Shlimgen and Barrett (GSB): “Regarding Causation and Judea Pearl’s Mediation Formula”
Uncle Judea sounds a bit testy in this one, but no doubt anyone would be if they had to keep swatting down such pathetic misunderstandings passing for objections.
causality  structural_equations  causal_inference  pearl.judea 
october 2011 by cshalizi
On a Class of Bias-Amplifying Covariates that Endanger Effect Estimates
Those would be _instrumental_ variables. Implications for the collected scholarly works of S. Levitt left as an exercise for the reader.
causal_inference  regression  instrumental_variables  pearl.judea 
november 2009 by cshalizi
Causal Inference in Statistics: An Overview (Pearl, 2009)
Described by Uncle Judea as "A new survey paper, gently summarizing everything I know about causation (in only 43 pages)".
causality  causal_inference  statistics  pearl.judea  blogged  have_read 
september 2009 by cshalizi
Causal Analysis in Theory and Practice » Remarks on the Method of Propensity Score
Pearl vs. Rubin: "the propensity score is a probabilistic, not a causal concept. Therefore, in the limit of very large sample, PS methods are bound to produce the same bias as straight stratification on the same set of measured covariates. They merely offer an effective way of approaching the asymptotic estimate which, due to the high dimensionality of X, is practically unattainable with straight stratification. Still, the asymptotic estimate is the same in both cases, and may or may not be biased, depending on the set of covariates chosen."
causal_inference  propensity_scores  pearl.judea  rubin.donald 
december 2008 by cshalizi
Bayesianism and Causality, or, Why I am only a Half-Bayesian (Judea Pearl)
Note the extreme weakness of the sense in which Pearl is even "half-Bayesian"; the blessed St. Jerzy could agree with it.
pearl.judea  bayesianism  causality  statistics  foundations_of_statistics  via:nielsen 
may 2008 by cshalizi

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