cshalizi + douc.randal   1

[1202.2945] Sequential Monte Carlo smoothing for general state space hidden Markov models
"Computing smoothing distributions, the distributions of one or more states conditional on past, present, and future observations is a recurring problem when operating on general hidden Markov models. The aim of this paper is to provide a foundation of particle-based approximation of such distributions and to analyze, in a common unifying framework, different schemes producing such approximations. In this setting, general convergence results, including exponential deviation inequalities and central limit theorems, are established. In particular, time uniform bounds on the marginal smoothing error are obtained under appropriate mixing conditions on the transition kernel of the latent chain. In addition, we propose an algorithm approximating the joint smoothing distribution at a cost that grows only linearly with the number of particles."
to:NB  filtering  statistics  state_estimation  particle_filters  state-space_models  stochastic_processes  ergodic_theory  moulines.eric  douc.randal 
february 2012 by cshalizi

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