cshalizi + decision_trees   10

[1205.2609] Which Spatial Partition Trees are Adaptive to Intrinsic Dimension?
"Recent theory work has found that a special type of spatial partition tree - called a random projection tree - is adaptive to the intrinsic dimension of the data from which it is built. Here we examine this same question, with a combination of theory and experiments, for a broader class of trees that includes k-d trees, dyadic trees, and PCA trees. Our motivation is to get a feel for (i) the kind of intrinsic low dimensional structure that can be empirically verified, (ii) the extent to which a spatial partition can exploit such structure, and (iii) the implications for standard statistical tasks such as regression, vector quantization, and nearest neighbor search."
to:NB  decision_trees  prediction  regression  statistics  dimension_reduction  machine_learning 
13 days ago by cshalizi
[1202.1523] Information Forests
"We describe Information Forests, an approach to classification that generalizes Random Forests by replacing the splitting criterion of non-leaf nodes from a discriminative one -- based on the entropy of the label distribution -- to a generative one -- based on maximizing the information divergence between the class-conditional distributions in the resulting partitions. The basic idea consists of deferring classification until a measure of "classification confidence" is sufficiently high, and instead breaking down the data so as to maximize this measure. In an alternative interpretation, Information Forests attempt to partition the data into subsets that are "as informative as possible" for the purpose of the task, which is to classify the data. Classification confidence, or informative content of the subsets, is quantified by the Information Divergence. Our approach relates to active learning, semi-supervised learning, mixed generative/discriminative learning."

After reading: meh.
have_read  decision_trees  information_theory  classifiers  machine_learning  to_teach:data-mining  re:AoS_project 
february 2012 by cshalizi
[1202.1561] Tree Models for Difference and Change Detection in a Complex Environment
"A new family of tree models is proposed, which we call "differential trees." A differential tree model is constructed from multiple data sets and aims to detect distributional differences between them. The new methodology differs from the existing difference and change detection techniques in its nonparametric nature, model construction from multiple data sets, and applicability to high-dimensional data. Through a detailed study of an arson case in New Zealand, where an individual is known to have been laying vegetation fires within a certain time period, we illustrate how these models can help detect changes in the frequencies of event occurrences and uncover unusual clusters of events in a complex environment."

--- After reading, I think their exposition is needlessly hard to follow, but let me take a stab at it. In an ordinary classification tree, we are interested in the distribution of the class labels Y given the predictors X, i.e., Pr(Y|X), and make splits on X so that (in essence) the conditional entropy H[Y|X] becomes small. This is of course equivalent to making splits so that the divergence of Pr(Y|X) from Pr(Y) is maximized. What they are interested in is not classification but _describing_ how the different classes are distinct, so the relevant distribution is Pr(X|Y), and they want a big divergence between Pr(X) and Pr(X|Y).
to:NB  re:network_differences  statistics  hypothesis_testing  density_estimation  decision_trees  have_read  data_mining  two-sample_tests 
february 2012 by cshalizi
RE-EM Trees: A Data Ming Approach for Longitudinal and Clustered Data
"Longitudinal data refer to the situation where repeated observations are available for each sampled object. Clustered data, where observations are nested in a hierarchical structure within objects (without time necessarily being involved) represent a similar type of situation. Methodologies that take this structure into account allow for the possibilities of systematic differences between objects that are not related to attributes and autocorrelation within objects across time periods. A standard methodology in the statistics literature for this type of data is the mixed effects model, where these differences between objects are represented by so-called “random effects” that are estimated from the data (population-level relationships are termed “fixed effects,” together resulting in a mixed effects model). This paper presents a methodology that combines the structure of mixed effects models for longitudinal and clustered data with the flexibility of tree-based estimation methods. We apply the resulting estimation method, called the RE-EM tree, to pricing in online transactions, showing that the RE-EM tree is less sensitive to parametric assumptions and provides improved predictive power compared to linear models with random effects and regression trees without random effects. We also apply it to a smaller data set examining accident fatalities, and show that the RE-EM tree strongly outperforms a tree without random effects while performing comparably to a linear model with random effects. We also perform extensive simulation experiments to show that the estimator improves predictive performance relative to regression trees without random effects and is comparable or superior to using linear models with random effects in more general situations."
to:NB  machine_learning  decision_trees  data_mining  statistics  hierarchical_models 
january 2012 by cshalizi
[0804.0650] Storms prediction : Logistic regression vs random forest for unbalanced data
"satellite measurements of cloud systems which are to be classified either in convective or non convective systems. Convective cloud systems correspond to lightning and detecting such systems is of main importance for thunderstorm monitoring and warning"
have_read  machine_learning  weather_prediction  decision_trees  to_teach:data-mining  ensemble_methods 
april 2008 by cshalizi

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