Vaguery + via:cshalizi 39
Omniscient Gentlemen of The Atlantic | | Notebook | The Baffler
5 weeks ago by Vaguery
"What mystified Grove was the assertion, voiced by the economist Alan Blinder and others, “that as long as ‘knowledge work’ stays in the U.S., it doesn’t matter what happens to factory jobs.” This was not only inhumane, Grove declared; it was idiotic."
via:cshalizi
corporatism
publishing
social-engineering
journalism
they-say-the-best-astroturf-has-no-color-at-all
5 weeks ago by Vaguery
How Can Herbert Spencer’s 1892 Revisions to his Social Statics Help Us Understand Conservative Opposition to the Individual Mandate? | Rortybomb
5 weeks ago by Vaguery
"But I think it’s clear what his real objection was: universal suffrage has the potential to advance socialistic causes, interfering with his laissez-faire project. From his autobiography: “Another extension of the franchise since made…will inevitably be followed by a still more rapid growth of socialistic legislation.” When he realized women’s equality could potentially interfere with laissez-faire economics, it was time for women’s equality to get cut from his overall theory of a better world. He would rather mutilate his intellectual project instead of allowing his enemies to continue to build their governance project."
Herbert-Spencer
laissez-faire
corporatism
capitalism
politics
conservatism
via:cshalizi
5 weeks ago by Vaguery
Why I’m So Mean -- Daily Intel
february 2012 by Vaguery
"Most people don’t follow these issues for a living and have a hard time distinguishing legitimate arguments from garbage. I don’t mean this patronizingly: I certainly would have trouble distinguishing valid arguments from nonsense in a technical field I didn’t study professionally. But that's why there’s a value in signaling that some arguments aren’t merely expressing a difference in values or interpretation, but are made by an unqualified hack peddling demonstrable nonsense. Being so mean is a labor of love, I confess, but also one with a purpose."
via:cshalizi
politics
argument
reality-based
not-all-differences-of-opinion-are-just-that
february 2012 by Vaguery
Evolution of increased complexity in a molecular machine : Nature : Nature Publishing Group
january 2012 by Vaguery
"Many cellular processes are carried out by molecular ‘machines’—assemblies of multiple differentiated proteins that physically interact to execute biological functions1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. Despite much speculation, strong evidence of the mechanisms by which these assemblies evolved is lacking. Here we use ancestral gene resurrection9, 10, 11 and manipulative genetic experiments to determine how the complexity of an essential molecular machine—the hexameric transmembrane ring of the eukaryotic V-ATPase proton pump—increased hundreds of millions of years ago. We show that the ring of Fungi, which is composed of three paralogous proteins, evolved from a more ancient two-paralogue complex because of a gene duplication that was followed by loss in each daughter copy of specific interfaces by which it interacts with other ring proteins. These losses were complementary, so both copies became obligate components with restricted spatial roles in the complex. Reintroducing a single historical mutation from each paralogue lineage into the resurrected ancestral proteins is sufficient to recapitulate their asymmetric degeneration and trigger the requirement for the more elaborate three-component ring. Our experiments show that increased complexity in an essential molecular machine evolved because of simple, high-probability evolutionary processes, without the apparent evolution of novel functions. They point to a plausible mechanism for the evolution of complexity in other multi-paralogue protein complexes."
via:cshalizi
evolution
structural-biology
parsimony
dangers-of-premature-optimization
lesson-for-genetic-programming
january 2012 by Vaguery
[1111.7267] The structure of coevolving infection networks
december 2011 by Vaguery
"Disease awareness in infection dynamics can be modeled with adaptive contact networks whose rewiring rules reflect the attempt by susceptibles to avoid infectious contacts. Simulations of this type of models show an active phase with constant infected node density in which the interplay of disease dynamics and link rewiring prompts the convergence towards a well defined degree distribution, irrespective of the initial network topology. We develop a method to study this dynamic equilibrium and give an analytic description of the structure of the characteristic degree distributions and other network measures. The method applies to a broad class of systems and can be used to determine the steady-state topology of many other adaptive networks."
via:cshalizi
network-theory
epidemiology
contagion
adaptive-control
complexology
december 2011 by Vaguery
slacktivist: Rendering unto Krugman
june 2010 by Vaguery
"I'm not an economist, but we've got five applicants for every single job opening. If you tell me that the best response to that situation is to lay off hundreds of thousands of teachers, I will not accept that this means that you're smarter and more expert than I am. I will instead conclude -- regardless of your prestige or position or years of study -- that you're a moral imbecile. And knowing what I know about your inability to make moral judgments I will have no reason to trust you to make complicated macroeconomic ones."
via:cshalizi
financial-crisis
economics
austerity-is-not-for-everybody-(ever)
unemployment
worklife
macroeconomics
public-policy
june 2010 by Vaguery
The Reason So Many People Are Unemployed (Aaron Swartz's Raw Thought)
march 2010 by Vaguery
"The biggest reason this is possible is because nobody realizes it. If it was conventional wisdom that a bunch of unelected bankers looking out for rich people were the reason everyone was out of work, politicians would be forced to explain to angry voters why we had this crazy system and might actually consider doing something about it. But, incredibly, it just seems like nobody has any idea. Voters don’t realize it, politicians don’t understand it, journalists don’t cover it. And, in fact, they’re so far from having any idea that it’s really difficult to explain it to them. When you say a bunch of unelected bankers are the reason there are no jobs, they just look at you like you’re crazy. I’ve just spent a page or two explaining it and you still probably think I’m crazy. But it’s true! This isn’t some Ron Paul-type crackpot idea; this is mainstream economics, from Paul Krugman to the head of George W. Bush’s Council of Economic Advisors."
financial-crisis
economics
Keynes
macroeconomics
public-policy
bankers-should-start-avoiding-lampposts-right-about-now
via:cshalizi
march 2010 by Vaguery
Tattúínárdœla saga: If Star Wars Were an Icelandic Saga « Tattúínárdœla saga
march 2010 by Vaguery
"Over the next several years, we follow the career of Anakinn as he falls in love with Irish princess Paðéma after killing her father at the Battle of Confey, and his mentor Víga-Óbívan continues to encourage him to betray Falfaðinn, the King of Kóruskantborg.… However, Anakinn is loyal to his oaths to King Falfaðinn and remains with him in Kóruskantborg, where he rises to great honor in the service of the king and is the recipient of many good gifts. He also begins the planning of the construction of the great ship Dauðastjarna, which when completed will be the crown jewel of Falfaðinn’s fleet, and will hold a crew large enough to sack a city single-handedly. Because of his great skill in hunting, Anakinn is now known to most as Veiðari-Anakinn, “hunter-Anakinn,” or often simply Veiðari."
via:cshalizi
saga
history-done-right
cite-your-sources
star-wars
march 2010 by Vaguery
The Tea Party’s Retreaded “Ideas” | Progressive Fix
march 2010 by Vaguery
"We are often told that the Tea Party Movement represents some sort of disenfranchised “radical middle” in America that rejects both major parties’ inability to get together and solve problems. As the “Contract From America” shows, that’s totally wrong. At least when it comes to policy proposals, these folks are the hard-right wing of the Republican Party, upset that Barry Goldwater’s agenda from 1964 has never been implemented."
Republicans
politics
via:cshalizi
conservatism
tea-party
extremism
march 2010 by Vaguery
Jackie Ramos and the Issue of Fix Pay « Rortybomb
december 2009 by Vaguery
"To make that clear, rather than having the consumer pay off the full loan over 4 years with 100% certainty at 6% and no fees, it’s more profitable to charge 30% interest and fees for 2 years and then simply forget about the $1,250 that is still on the balance when the consumer finally goes under. Anything more you could get out of them, in court or with a few more minimum payments, is gravy."
via:cshalizi
financial-crisis
credit-crunch
credit-cards
bankers-should-start-avoiding-lampposts-right-about-now
december 2009 by Vaguery
http://jmlr.csail.mit.edu/papers/v5/grandvalet04a.html
november 2009 by Vaguery
"Most machine learning researchers perform quantitative experiments to estimate generalization error and compare the performance of different algorithms (in particular, their proposed algorithm). In order to be able to draw statistically convincing conclusions, it is important to estimate the uncertainty of such estimates. This paper studies the very commonly used K-fold cross-validation estimator of generalization performance. The main theorem shows that there exists no universal (valid under all distributions) unbiased estimator of the variance of K-fold cross-validation."
via:cshalizi
machine-learning
statistics
validation
error
received-wisdom
november 2009 by Vaguery
The Abstract Factory: Software patents have tangible costs for innovation, and for you
november 2009 by Vaguery
"His startup recently got sued for patent infringement by a company that independently developed a product that performs a vaguely similar function. This other company's product is much less sophisticated, and their user-facing site is an ugly, user-hostile pile of crap. The term "search arbitrage" would be a kind word to apply to this other company's product. And there is absolutely no sense in which my friend's work builds on any of this other company's technology.
Now, my friend and his partner have consulted multiple IP lawyers and they've said, "Yep, the law is probably on your side." They have also said, "You're still screwed." The trial would take forever, the legal fees would be ruinous, and in the meantime nobody will invest in a company which has a litigation cloud hanging over it."
via:cshalizi
intellectual-property
entrepreneurship
software
patents
zero-sum-it-ain't
Now, my friend and his partner have consulted multiple IP lawyers and they've said, "Yep, the law is probably on your side." They have also said, "You're still screwed." The trial would take forever, the legal fees would be ruinous, and in the meantime nobody will invest in a company which has a litigation cloud hanging over it."
november 2009 by Vaguery
Thunderbirds will grow a generation of mad engineers
october 2009 by Vaguery
"Thunderbirds says that science is awesome because you get to fly in space and live on a high-tech island full of booze. Beat that for incentive."
via:cshalizi
SCIENCE!!eleven!
television
cultural-norms
cultural-engineering
childhood
philosophy
Warren-fucking-Ellis-SAYS-SO
october 2009 by Vaguery
Analyzing the effectiveness and applicability of co-training
september 2009 by Vaguery
"Yet, the co-training algorithm in this paper also makes the same assumptions (as it too has underlying naive Bayes clas- sifiers), but does not suffer from the violations. Thus we hypothesize that the co-training algorithm succeeds in part because it is more robust to the assumptions made by its underlying classifiers. This can be understood by looking at the differences in how EM and co-training use the underly- ing assumptions."
via:cshalizi
learning
learning-from-watching
algorithms
machine-learning
collaboration
performance-space-analysis
september 2009 by Vaguery
Newton Institute Seminar : Wegman, E, 07/01/2008
june 2009 by Vaguery
"In this presentation, we review some fundamentals of visualization and then proceed to describe methods and combinations of methods useful for visualizing high dimensional data. Some methods include parallel coordinates, smooth interpolations of parallel coordinates, grand tours including wrapping tours, fractal tours, pseudo-grand tours, and pixel tours."
via:cshalizi
visualization
learning-from-data
pattern-discovery
graphics
experimental-design
interactivity
june 2009 by Vaguery
"Statistical Theory and Methods for Complex, High-Dimensional Data"
june 2009 by Vaguery
To read in context of current practices of Pareto-GP model discovery: are there any cultural similarities <i>at all</i> between these people and the GP practitioners' approach?
via:cshalizi
data-mining
models
model-discovery
heuristics
statistics
fat-data
june 2009 by Vaguery
FT.com | Willem Buiter's Maverecon | The unfortunate uselessness of most ’state of the art’ academic monetary economics
march 2009 by Vaguery
"Most mainstream macroeconomic theoretical innovations since the 1970s (the New Classical rational expectations revolution associated with such names as Robert E. Lucas Jr., Edward Prescott, Thomas Sargent, Robert Barro etc, and the New Keynesian theorizing of Michael Woodford and many others) have turned out to be self-referential, inward-looking distractions at best. Research tended to be motivated by the internal logic, intellectual sunk capital and esthetic puzzles of established research programmes rather than by a powerful desire to understand how the economy works - let alone how the economy works during times of stress and financial instability. So the economics profession was caught unprepared when the crisis struck."
via:cshalizi
economics
models
academia
expertise
modeling
psychology
optimization
failure
financial-crisis
financial-engineering
public-policy
mister-occam-tear-down-this-wall
march 2009 by Vaguery
Angry Bear: "Price Revelation" is mysticism.
february 2009 by Vaguery
"Foolish reliance on Li's model lead to disaster and it was made possible by CDS markets which convinced participants that they had many observations on the probability of default. They were convinced that prices revealed these probabilities because they had an insane mystical faith in the strong form efficient markets hypothesis and a schizophrenic simultaneous belief that they could beat the market."
via:cshalizi
prediction
markets
financial-crisis
modeling
statistics
economics
theory-and-practice-sitting-in-a-tree
february 2009 by Vaguery
All we want are the facts, ma'am
february 2009 by Vaguery
In the days when Sussman was a novice, Minsky once came to him as he sat hacking at the PDP-6.
"What are you doing?", asked Minsky.
"I am training a randomly wired neural net to play Tic-Tac-Toe," Sussman replied.
"Why is the net wired randomly?", asked Minsky.
"I do not want it to have any preconceptions of how to play", Sussman said.
Minsky shut his eyes.
"Why do you close your eyes?", Sussman asked his teacher.
"So that the room will be empty."
At that moment, Sussman was enlightened.
via:arthegall
via:cshalizi
science
models
modeling
statistics
learning-from-data
pattern-discovery
hubris
hyperbole
Chris-Anderson
that-Greek-dude-with-the-wings-that-melted
"What are you doing?", asked Minsky.
"I am training a randomly wired neural net to play Tic-Tac-Toe," Sussman replied.
"Why is the net wired randomly?", asked Minsky.
"I do not want it to have any preconceptions of how to play", Sussman said.
Minsky shut his eyes.
"Why do you close your eyes?", Sussman asked his teacher.
"So that the room will be empty."
At that moment, Sussman was enlightened.
february 2009 by Vaguery
Confessions of a Community College Dean: Some Thoughts on the AFT Report
december 2008 by Vaguery
"The more complicated cause is the relative difficulty of increasing 'productivity' when the 'product' itself is measured in time. Other than increasing tuition, increasing class size, or decreasing pay, how do you improve the economic 'productivity' of someone teaching 45 hours a semester? When most of the rest of the economy realizes productivity gains every single year and we don't realize any for decades, a funding crunch is utterly predictable. Unless we get away from the 'seat time' model, we'll be stuck in a work-speedup/cost-runup cycle until we simply break the market. Which we're perilously close to doing now."
via:cshalizi
academia
public-policy
teaching
labor-v-capital
management
business-culture
unions
self-image
politics
december 2008 by Vaguery
“I am all right, and you cannot escape listening to my speech either.” « The Edge of the American West
october 2008 by Vaguery
"Assume, as Roosevelt did, a population in which there are some weak-minded people, prone to violence. What makes such people fixate on a public figure? Roosevelt thought it could only be the language, bordering on incitement, with which it had become acceptable to attack public figures."
via:cshalizi
Bushism
politics
radicalism
civility
attack
history
marketing
fundamentalism
october 2008 by Vaguery
The Predator State: A Summary (Aaron Swartz's Raw Thought)
august 2008 by Vaguery
"6: The argument for free trade comes from Ricardo's "comparative advantage" -- a clever textbook exercise, but irrelevant to the real world since it assumes constant costs. In reality, either you produce manufactured goods, in which your costs go down as you make more, or you sell off commodities, in which case your costs go up as you make more. With the former, it takes time for local industry to build up the advantage (requiring protectionism). With the latter, you end up like Mongolia, which opened up its animal husbandry market, swelling herd sizes, turning grass into permanent desert, and killing off the entire market. With no other exports, such a country is in big trouble. Ricardo was wrong: diversification, not specialization, is the way to develop -- and how every successful country has. Unfortunately, we've forced this broken system on most of the world....
via:cshalizi
economics
public-policy
planning
America
myths
diversity
summary
books
august 2008 by Vaguery
Trending Toward Inanity -- In These Times
august 2008 by Vaguery
"... Unlike most pollsters, Penn never releases his raw numbers, only his analysis. So we must take it on faith that his methodology is rigorous, his polls accurate and his interpretations fair. This book is our first opportunity to observe, at length, how adroitly Penn handles raw data. And the answer is stunning, even to a doubter like me. Mark Penn cannot handle numbers. If this book were turned in as the final to an entry-level statistics class, Penn would not only be failed, but the professor might well retire in shame."
via:cshalizi
statistics
polling
modeling
politics
propaganda
social-engineering
false-quants
august 2008 by Vaguery
Financial Meltdown | n+1
april 2008 by Vaguery
"From time to time you have to kill a management team to encourage the others."
via:cshalizi
finance
economy
credit-crunch
hedge-funds
bad-design
trading
public-policy
april 2008 by Vaguery
EconPapers: Does Television Cause Autism?
march 2008 by Vaguery
But does HDTV cause high-resolution autism?
via:cshalizi
via:arthegall
statistics
models
bad-design
television
epidemiology
march 2008 by Vaguery
Eric el pescado. « The Edge of the American West
february 2008 by Vaguery
"[W]e were determined not to let a passion for unassailable little truths draw in the horizon and crowd the sky down on us."
via:cshalizi
history
philosophy
inquiry
academia
writing
discovery
truth
social-norms
cultural-norms
february 2008 by Vaguery
Green Gabbro : The Union Bogeyman
february 2008 by Vaguery
"... yet Nature still thinks it's okay to publish a four-paragraph article containing two paragraphs of unsupported speculation about ways in which unions might or might not harm students."
via:cshalizi
universities
unions
labor
organization
graduate-school
cultural-norms
academia
february 2008 by Vaguery
Language Log: Après Fish, le déluge?
january 2008 by Vaguery
One wants to know how set boundaries may be made fluid again. One wants, I think, to let people do what they enjoy. There are enough of us for that.
via:cshalizi
disintermediation
(?)
academia
education
humanities
linguistics
scholarship
january 2008 by Vaguery
Coilhouse
october 2007 by Vaguery
Thanks to Cosma for leading me to Coilhouse.
via:cshalizi
design
media
coolhog
fashion
graphic-design
blog
october 2007 by Vaguery
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