Vaguery + via:cshalizi   39

Omniscient Gentlemen of The Atlantic | | Notebook | The Baffler
"What mystified Grove was the assertion, voiced by the economist Alan Blinder and others, “that as long as ‘knowledge work’ stays in the U.S., it doesn’t matter what happens to factory jobs.” This was not only inhumane, Grove declared; it was idiotic."
via:cshalizi  corporatism  publishing  social-engineering  journalism  they-say-the-best-astroturf-has-no-color-at-all 
5 weeks ago by Vaguery
How Can Herbert Spencer’s 1892 Revisions to his Social Statics Help Us Understand Conservative Opposition to the Individual Mandate? | Rortybomb
"But I think it’s clear what his real objection was: universal suffrage has the potential to advance socialistic causes, interfering with his laissez-faire project. From his autobiography: “Another extension of the franchise since made…will inevitably be followed by a still more rapid growth of socialistic legislation.” When he realized women’s equality could potentially interfere with laissez-faire economics, it was time for women’s equality to get cut from his overall theory of a better world. He would rather mutilate his intellectual project instead of allowing his enemies to continue to build their governance project."
Herbert-Spencer  laissez-faire  corporatism  capitalism  politics  conservatism  via:cshalizi 
5 weeks ago by Vaguery
Why I’m So Mean -- Daily Intel
"Most people don’t follow these issues for a living and have a hard time distinguishing legitimate arguments from garbage. I don’t mean this patronizingly: I certainly would have trouble distinguishing valid arguments from nonsense in a technical field I didn’t study professionally. But that's why there’s a value in signaling that some arguments aren’t merely expressing a difference in values or interpretation, but are made by an unqualified hack peddling demonstrable nonsense. Being so mean is a labor of love, I confess, but also one with a purpose."
via:cshalizi  politics  argument  reality-based  not-all-differences-of-opinion-are-just-that 
february 2012 by Vaguery
Evolution of increased complexity in a molecular machine : Nature : Nature Publishing Group
"Many cellular processes are carried out by molecular ‘machines’—assemblies of multiple differentiated proteins that physically interact to execute biological functions1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. Despite much speculation, strong evidence of the mechanisms by which these assemblies evolved is lacking. Here we use ancestral gene resurrection9, 10, 11 and manipulative genetic experiments to determine how the complexity of an essential molecular machine—the hexameric transmembrane ring of the eukaryotic V-ATPase proton pump—increased hundreds of millions of years ago. We show that the ring of Fungi, which is composed of three paralogous proteins, evolved from a more ancient two-paralogue complex because of a gene duplication that was followed by loss in each daughter copy of specific interfaces by which it interacts with other ring proteins. These losses were complementary, so both copies became obligate components with restricted spatial roles in the complex. Reintroducing a single historical mutation from each paralogue lineage into the resurrected ancestral proteins is sufficient to recapitulate their asymmetric degeneration and trigger the requirement for the more elaborate three-component ring. Our experiments show that increased complexity in an essential molecular machine evolved because of simple, high-probability evolutionary processes, without the apparent evolution of novel functions. They point to a plausible mechanism for the evolution of complexity in other multi-paralogue protein complexes."
via:cshalizi  evolution  structural-biology  parsimony  dangers-of-premature-optimization  lesson-for-genetic-programming 
january 2012 by Vaguery
[1111.7267] The structure of coevolving infection networks
"Disease awareness in infection dynamics can be modeled with adaptive contact networks whose rewiring rules reflect the attempt by susceptibles to avoid infectious contacts. Simulations of this type of models show an active phase with constant infected node density in which the interplay of disease dynamics and link rewiring prompts the convergence towards a well defined degree distribution, irrespective of the initial network topology. We develop a method to study this dynamic equilibrium and give an analytic description of the structure of the characteristic degree distributions and other network measures. The method applies to a broad class of systems and can be used to determine the steady-state topology of many other adaptive networks."
via:cshalizi  network-theory  epidemiology  contagion  adaptive-control  complexology 
december 2011 by Vaguery
slacktivist: Rendering unto Krugman
"I'm not an economist, but we've got five applicants for every single job opening. If you tell me that the best response to that situation is to lay off hundreds of thousands of teachers, I will not accept that this means that you're smarter and more expert than I am. I will instead conclude -- regardless of your prestige or position or years of study -- that you're a moral imbecile. And knowing what I know about your inability to make moral judgments I will have no reason to trust you to make complicated macroeconomic ones."
via:cshalizi  financial-crisis  economics  austerity-is-not-for-everybody-(ever)  unemployment  worklife  macroeconomics  public-policy 
june 2010 by Vaguery
The Reason So Many People Are Unemployed (Aaron Swartz's Raw Thought)
"The biggest reason this is possible is because nobody realizes it. If it was conventional wisdom that a bunch of unelected bankers looking out for rich people were the reason everyone was out of work, politicians would be forced to explain to angry voters why we had this crazy system and might actually consider doing something about it. But, incredibly, it just seems like nobody has any idea. Voters don’t realize it, politicians don’t understand it, journalists don’t cover it. And, in fact, they’re so far from having any idea that it’s really difficult to explain it to them. When you say a bunch of unelected bankers are the reason there are no jobs, they just look at you like you’re crazy. I’ve just spent a page or two explaining it and you still probably think I’m crazy. But it’s true! This isn’t some Ron Paul-type crackpot idea; this is mainstream economics, from Paul Krugman to the head of George W. Bush’s Council of Economic Advisors."
financial-crisis  economics  Keynes  macroeconomics  public-policy  bankers-should-start-avoiding-lampposts-right-about-now  via:cshalizi 
march 2010 by Vaguery
Tattúínárdœla saga: If Star Wars Were an Icelandic Saga « Tattúínárdœla saga
"Over the next several years, we follow the career of Anakinn as he falls in love with Irish princess Paðéma after killing her father at the Battle of Confey, and his mentor Víga-Óbívan continues to encourage him to betray Falfaðinn, the King of Kóruskantborg.… However, Anakinn is loyal to his oaths to King Falfaðinn and remains with him in Kóruskantborg, where he rises to great honor in the service of the king and is the recipient of many good gifts. He also begins the planning of the construction of the great ship Dauðastjarna, which when completed will be the crown jewel of Falfaðinn’s fleet, and will hold a crew large enough to sack a city single-handedly. Because of his great skill in hunting, Anakinn is now known to most as Veiðari-Anakinn, “hunter-Anakinn,” or often simply Veiðari."
via:cshalizi  saga  history-done-right  cite-your-sources  star-wars 
march 2010 by Vaguery
The Tea Party’s Retreaded “Ideas” | Progressive Fix
"We are often told that the Tea Party Movement represents some sort of disenfranchised “radical middle” in America that rejects both major parties’ inability to get together and solve problems. As the “Contract From America” shows, that’s totally wrong. At least when it comes to policy proposals, these folks are the hard-right wing of the Republican Party, upset that Barry Goldwater’s agenda from 1964 has never been implemented."
Republicans  politics  via:cshalizi  conservatism  tea-party  extremism 
march 2010 by Vaguery
Jackie Ramos and the Issue of Fix Pay « Rortybomb
"To make that clear, rather than having the consumer pay off the full loan over 4 years with 100% certainty at 6% and no fees, it’s more profitable to charge 30% interest and fees for 2 years and then simply forget about the $1,250 that is still on the balance when the consumer finally goes under. Anything more you could get out of them, in court or with a few more minimum payments, is gravy."
via:cshalizi  financial-crisis  credit-crunch  credit-cards  bankers-should-start-avoiding-lampposts-right-about-now 
december 2009 by Vaguery
http://jmlr.csail.mit.edu/papers/v5/grandvalet04a.html
"Most machine learning researchers perform quantitative experiments to estimate generalization error and compare the performance of different algorithms (in particular, their proposed algorithm). In order to be able to draw statistically convincing conclusions, it is important to estimate the uncertainty of such estimates. This paper studies the very commonly used K-fold cross-validation estimator of generalization performance. The main theorem shows that there exists no universal (valid under all distributions) unbiased estimator of the variance of K-fold cross-validation."
via:cshalizi  machine-learning  statistics  validation  error  received-wisdom 
november 2009 by Vaguery
The Abstract Factory: Software patents have tangible costs for innovation, and for you
"His startup recently got sued for patent infringement by a company that independently developed a product that performs a vaguely similar function. This other company's product is much less sophisticated, and their user-facing site is an ugly, user-hostile pile of crap. The term "search arbitrage" would be a kind word to apply to this other company's product. And there is absolutely no sense in which my friend's work builds on any of this other company's technology.

Now, my friend and his partner have consulted multiple IP lawyers and they've said, "Yep, the law is probably on your side." They have also said, "You're still screwed." The trial would take forever, the legal fees would be ruinous, and in the meantime nobody will invest in a company which has a litigation cloud hanging over it."
via:cshalizi  intellectual-property  entrepreneurship  software  patents  zero-sum-it-ain't 
november 2009 by Vaguery
Thunderbirds will grow a generation of mad engineers
"Thunderbirds says that science is awesome because you get to fly in space and live on a high-tech island full of booze. Beat that for incentive."
via:cshalizi  SCIENCE!!eleven!  television  cultural-norms  cultural-engineering  childhood  philosophy  Warren-fucking-Ellis-SAYS-SO 
october 2009 by Vaguery
Analyzing the effectiveness and applicability of co-training
"Yet, the co-training algorithm in this paper also makes the same assumptions (as it too has underlying naive Bayes clas- sifiers), but does not suffer from the violations. Thus we hypothesize that the co-training algorithm succeeds in part because it is more robust to the assumptions made by its underlying classifiers. This can be understood by looking at the differences in how EM and co-training use the underly- ing assumptions."
via:cshalizi  learning  learning-from-watching  algorithms  machine-learning  collaboration  performance-space-analysis 
september 2009 by Vaguery
Newton Institute Seminar : Wegman, E, 07/01/2008
"In this presentation, we review some fundamentals of visualization and then proceed to describe methods and combinations of methods useful for visualizing high dimensional data. Some methods include parallel coordinates, smooth interpolations of parallel coordinates, grand tours including wrapping tours, fractal tours, pseudo-grand tours, and pixel tours."
via:cshalizi  visualization  learning-from-data  pattern-discovery  graphics  experimental-design  interactivity 
june 2009 by Vaguery
"Statistical Theory and Methods for Complex, High-Dimensional Data"
To read in context of current practices of Pareto-GP model discovery: are there any cultural similarities <i>at all</i> between these people and the GP practitioners' approach?
via:cshalizi  data-mining  models  model-discovery  heuristics  statistics  fat-data 
june 2009 by Vaguery
FT.com | Willem Buiter's Maverecon | The unfortunate uselessness of most ’state of the art’ academic monetary economics
"Most mainstream macroeconomic theoretical innovations since the 1970s (the New Classical rational expectations revolution associated with such names as Robert E. Lucas Jr., Edward Prescott, Thomas Sargent, Robert Barro etc, and the New Keynesian theorizing of Michael Woodford and many others) have turned out to be self-referential, inward-looking distractions at best. Research tended to be motivated by the internal logic, intellectual sunk capital and esthetic puzzles of established research programmes rather than by a powerful desire to understand how the economy works - let alone how the economy works during times of stress and financial instability. So the economics profession was caught unprepared when the crisis struck."
via:cshalizi  economics  models  academia  expertise  modeling  psychology  optimization  failure  financial-crisis  financial-engineering  public-policy  mister-occam-tear-down-this-wall 
march 2009 by Vaguery
Angry Bear: "Price Revelation" is mysticism.
"Foolish reliance on Li's model lead to disaster and it was made possible by CDS markets which convinced participants that they had many observations on the probability of default. They were convinced that prices revealed these probabilities because they had an insane mystical faith in the strong form efficient markets hypothesis and a schizophrenic simultaneous belief that they could beat the market."
via:cshalizi  prediction  markets  financial-crisis  modeling  statistics  economics  theory-and-practice-sitting-in-a-tree 
february 2009 by Vaguery
All we want are the facts, ma'am
In the days when Sussman was a novice, Minsky once came to him as he sat hacking at the PDP-6.
"What are you doing?", asked Minsky.
"I am training a randomly wired neural net to play Tic-Tac-Toe," Sussman replied.
"Why is the net wired randomly?", asked Minsky.
"I do not want it to have any preconceptions of how to play", Sussman said.
Minsky shut his eyes.
"Why do you close your eyes?", Sussman asked his teacher.
"So that the room will be empty."
At that moment, Sussman was enlightened.
via:arthegall  via:cshalizi  science  models  modeling  statistics  learning-from-data  pattern-discovery  hubris  hyperbole  Chris-Anderson  that-Greek-dude-with-the-wings-that-melted 
february 2009 by Vaguery
Confessions of a Community College Dean: Some Thoughts on the AFT Report
"The more complicated cause is the relative difficulty of increasing 'productivity' when the 'product' itself is measured in time. Other than increasing tuition, increasing class size, or decreasing pay, how do you improve the economic 'productivity' of someone teaching 45 hours a semester? When most of the rest of the economy realizes productivity gains every single year and we don't realize any for decades, a funding crunch is utterly predictable. Unless we get away from the 'seat time' model, we'll be stuck in a work-speedup/cost-runup cycle until we simply break the market. Which we're perilously close to doing now."
via:cshalizi  academia  public-policy  teaching  labor-v-capital  management  business-culture  unions  self-image  politics 
december 2008 by Vaguery
“I am all right, and you cannot escape listening to my speech either.” « The Edge of the American West
"Assume, as Roosevelt did, a population in which there are some weak-minded people, prone to violence. What makes such people fixate on a public figure? Roosevelt thought it could only be the language, bordering on incitement, with which it had become acceptable to attack public figures."
via:cshalizi  Bushism  politics  radicalism  civility  attack  history  marketing  fundamentalism 
october 2008 by Vaguery
The Predator State: A Summary (Aaron Swartz's Raw Thought)
"6: The argument for free trade comes from Ricardo's "comparative advantage" -- a clever textbook exercise, but irrelevant to the real world since it assumes constant costs. In reality, either you produce manufactured goods, in which your costs go down as you make more, or you sell off commodities, in which case your costs go up as you make more. With the former, it takes time for local industry to build up the advantage (requiring protectionism). With the latter, you end up like Mongolia, which opened up its animal husbandry market, swelling herd sizes, turning grass into permanent desert, and killing off the entire market. With no other exports, such a country is in big trouble. Ricardo was wrong: diversification, not specialization, is the way to develop -- and how every successful country has. Unfortunately, we've forced this broken system on most of the world....
via:cshalizi  economics  public-policy  planning  America  myths  diversity  summary  books 
august 2008 by Vaguery
Trending Toward Inanity -- In These Times
"... Unlike most pollsters, Penn never releases his raw numbers, only his analysis. So we must take it on faith that his methodology is rigorous, his polls accurate and his interpretations fair. This book is our first opportunity to observe, at length, how adroitly Penn handles raw data. And the answer is stunning, even to a doubter like me. Mark Penn cannot handle numbers. If this book were turned in as the final to an entry-level statistics class, Penn would not only be failed, but the professor might well retire in shame."
via:cshalizi  statistics  polling  modeling  politics  propaganda  social-engineering  false-quants 
august 2008 by Vaguery
Financial Meltdown | n+1
"From time to time you have to kill a management team to encourage the others."
via:cshalizi  finance  economy  credit-crunch  hedge-funds  bad-design  trading  public-policy 
april 2008 by Vaguery
Eric el pescado. « The Edge of the American West
"[W]e were determined not to let a passion for unassailable little truths draw in the horizon and crowd the sky down on us."
via:cshalizi  history  philosophy  inquiry  academia  writing  discovery  truth  social-norms  cultural-norms 
february 2008 by Vaguery
Green Gabbro : The Union Bogeyman
"... yet Nature still thinks it's okay to publish a four-paragraph article containing two paragraphs of unsupported speculation about ways in which unions might or might not harm students."
via:cshalizi  universities  unions  labor  organization  graduate-school  cultural-norms  academia 
february 2008 by Vaguery
Language Log: Après Fish, le déluge?
One wants to know how set boundaries may be made fluid again. One wants, I think, to let people do what they enjoy. There are enough of us for that.
via:cshalizi  disintermediation  (?)  academia  education  humanities  linguistics  scholarship 
january 2008 by Vaguery
Coilhouse
Thanks to Cosma for leading me to Coilhouse.
via:cshalizi  design  media  coolhog  fashion  graphic-design  blog 
october 2007 by Vaguery

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