Vaguery + bubble   10

Scripting News: It's definitely a bubble
"They're turning universities into incubators. It's happening at NYU and Harvard, two schools I have some familiarity with. Probably everywhere else too, to some extent. But I'd guess these two schools are pretty leading edge. Stanford has been there for a few generations."
bubble  entrepreneurship-as-pathology  startup-culture-must-die  ayup 
5 weeks ago by Vaguery
Odlyzko
"Gullibility is the principal cause of bubbles. Investors and the general public get snared by a “beautiful illusion” and throw caution to the wind. Attempts to identify and control bubbles are complicated by the fact that the authorities who might naturally be expected to take action have often (especially in recent years) been among the most gullible, and were cheerleaders for the exuberant behavior. Hence what is needed is an objective measure of gullibility."
bubble  economic-crisis  economics  social-dynamics  pragmatism-it-ain't 
september 2011 by Vaguery
How Not To Start A Relationship
"It amazes me that 50+ people could suddenly come out of the woodwork in an effort to “build a new relationship that’s not really a relationship” thinking it would give them an opportunity, or even an advantage, in the context of a set of hot companies.

When I think about the relationships I’ve developed, whether it be with investment bankers, LPs, co-investors, or anyone else, they evolve over a period of time. They don’t require boondoggles or fancy things; they require sincerity and substantive interaction over a long period of time. Then, when there are moments of opportunity, these are the people that I go to (and hopefully who come to me.)

There suddenly seem to be an abundance of “transaction relationships” out there. Entrepreneurs beware."
economic-development-will-destroy-the-city  bubble  venture-capital  business-culture  via:pkedrosky 
june 2011 by Vaguery
The Economic Outlook as of May 2011: Yes, This Is Called the Dismal Science. Why Do You Ask? - Grasping Reality with a Flexible Trunk
"As the foundations of this crisis were laid, there were always arguments against massive regulatory intervention to deal with it. Those arguments always sounded convincing. The stayed convincing even as the situation transformed itself from a justified boom in long duration assets driven by advances in diversification and by capital inflows pushing down interest rates, to froth, to irrational exuberance, to a full-fledged bubble."
financial-crisis  hindsight  economics  bubble  woops 
may 2011 by Vaguery
The Size of Derivatives Bubble = $190K Per Person on Planet
"According to various distinguished sources including the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) in Basel, Switzerland -- the central bankers' bank -- the amount of outstanding derivatives worldwide as of December 2007 crossed USD 1.144 Quadrillion, ie, USD 1,144 Trillion. The main categories of the USD 1.144 Quadrillion derivatives market were the following:"
economics  economic-crisis  finance  derivatives  financial-crisis  bubble  politics  future  risk  credit-default-swaps 
march 2009 by Vaguery
naked capitalism: Commercial Real Estate Prices May Drop 15% in Next Year
"Sam Zell is widely regarded as one of the savviest value investors around. The fact that Zell, an old hand in real estate, was cashing out was widely seen as the sign of a market top."
real-estate  finance  markets  economics  bubble  correction  downturn  depression  recession 
september 2007 by Vaguery

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